Patent attributes
Technologies related to predicting whether a requested change (deployment) in a cloud computing environment will fail are described herein. An exposomic feature value is computed based upon a time series of risk values, where the risk values represent risk of failure over several historic time intervals. A probabilistic model computes a likelihood that the requested deployment will fail during implementation of the requested deployment based upon the exposomic feature value and a contextual feature value, and a notification is transmitted to a computing device of a change manager to allow the change manager to take remedial action.